Background
This analysis is based on an older version of our inference model which is accurate but more difficult to read

Question

Is Donald Trump genetically inclined towards baldness?

What is the story behind Donald Trump's hair?

Scenarios
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Calculated Conclusions
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Conclusions
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1

99.5%
Genetically inclined:

Donald Trump is genetically inclined towards baldness.

99.5%

2

0.5%
Not genetically inclined:

Donald Trump is not genetically inclined towards baldness.

0.5%
Implied plausibility
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Likelihoods based only on other elements of the analysis, not considering evidence of this sub-topic.
Genetically inclined

98.9%

Not genetically inclined

1.1%

Compatibility with evidence
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Likelihoods based only on evidence of this sub-topic, assuming all hypotheses equally plausible.
Genetically inclined

99.5%

Not genetically inclined

0.5%

Conclusion
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Final likelihoods, combining plausibility and evidence.
Genetically inclined

99.5%

Not genetically inclined

0.5%

Analysis

Evidence (2 items)

Fred Trump (Donald's father) was balding.

The receding hairline of Fred Trump, Donald's father
The receding hairline of Fred Trump, Donald's father
www.thedailybeast.com
Genetically inclined

61%

Not genetically inclined

39%

Genetically inclined

61%

Not genetically inclined

39%

Robert Trump (Donald's brother) is balding.
Robert Trump balding
Robert Trump balding
www.gettyimages.com
Genetically inclined

60%

Not genetically inclined

40%

Genetically inclined

60%

Not genetically inclined

40%

Discussion
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This topic is part of a broader analysis. To view the discussion page of the main analysis, click below:
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Steven

Oct 13, 2016 at 9:47 AM

Fred Trump (Donald's father) was balding.

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Steven

Oct 13, 2016 at 9:46 AM

Fred Trump (Donald's father) was balding.